5km Predictor Test
Testing and measurement are the means of collecting information upon which subsequent performance evaluations and decisions are made but in the analysis we need to bear in mind the factors that may influence the results.
The 5km Predictor Test is used to predict an athlete's 5 kilometre time.
To undertake this test you will require:
How to conduct the test
The athlete is required to run 4 × 1600 metres with 90 seconds recovery between each run and the time for each 1600 metres is recorded.
Calculate the average of the 4 recorded times and multiply the result by 3.125. The result is the predicted 5km time for the athlete.
The 3.125 comes from the fact the average time is for 1600 metres and we require a time for 5000 metres hence we need to divide the time by 1600 and multiply the result by 5000 (5000 ÷ 1600 = 3.125)
The recorded times for each 1600 metres are:
Average time of the four runs is 4 minutes 16.25 seconds (256.25 seconds)
Multiply the result by 3.125 = 13 minutes 20.8 seconds
Predicted time for the 5km is 13 minutes 20.8 seconds
When to use
To predict performance and monitor progress this test can be used at the:
Analysis of the result is by comparing it with the results of previous tests. It is expected that, with appropriate training between each test, the analysis would indicate an improvement.
This test is suitable for middle distance athletes but not for individuals where the test would be contraindicated.
Test reliability refers to the degree to which a test is consistent and stable in measuring what it is intended to measure. Reliability will depend upon how strict the test is conducted and the individual's level of motivation to perform the test. The following link provides a variety of factors that may influence the results and therefore the test reliability.
Test validity refers to the degree to which the test actually measures what it claims to measure and the extent to which inferences, conclusions, and decisions made on the basis of test scores are appropriate and meaningful. This test provides a means to monitor the effect of training on the athlete's physical development. The degree to which the test actually predicts 5km times is high.
The reference for this page is:
The following Sports Coach pages should be read in conjunction with this page: